A diary of the thought process behind my investment decisions
I am looking towards next week as expiration is notoriously difficult to game. The bull case is that tax refund season continues for another few weeks which causes positive seasonality until early May. The bear case is that sentiment extremes tend to lead to reversals after expiration. Additionally, the government will likely start selling shares of Citigroup once they report earnings next week and I expect stock issuance to pick up.